John Oharenko |
Chicago, IL – The Real Estate Capital Institute® notes the ongoing COVID epidemic effects on the nation's health keeps the economy and commercial real estate markets in limbo.
As such, mortgage markets continue functioning based
on record-low rates, although at much more stringent parameters than seen in
decades.
The Real Estate Capital Institute's director,
John Oharenko, suggests, "For the most part, the realty capital markets
are purely defensive, seeking low risk in return for lower rates."
The most crucial underwriting trends include:
Low rates: Favorable
rates are here to stay, at least in the foreseeable future, and the Fed shows
no plans for raising rates. Inflation
appears under control, as the economy continues absorbing more COVID pain with
no cure in sight for the next few months. Longer-term mortgage rates
hover in the 3% range for desirable real estate ventures.
Conservative
Leverage:
Historically, 75% to 80% loan-to-value served as the
high watermark for leverage. Due to persistently low-interest rates
and correspondingly low capitalization rates, 65% LTV emerged as the new
benchmark for high leverage debt.
This
year's pandemic wreaked havoc on the realty capital markets, creating the new
leverage level of 60% LTV or less, as both lenders and borrowers rely on more
equity to provide performance cushions based on volatile cash flows.
Selectivity: Given
the dramatically different financial performance levels between various
property types and markets, funding selectivity permeates nearly all sectors of
the CRE industry.
Lenders
remain cautious by working with existing and favorable borrower relationships,
especially for value-add and construction projects.
New
client opportunities stay limited to conservatively underwritten debt with
proven sponsorship. Otherwise, equity financing dominates
entrepreneurial ventures.
The Real Estate
Capital Institute® is a volunteer-based research organization that tracks
realty rates data for debt and equity yields. The Institute posts daily
and historical benchmark rates, including
treasuries, bank prime, and LIBOR.
CONTACT:
The Real Estate Capital Institute®
Chicago, Illinois USA 60622
John Oharenko
Executive
Director
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