SEATTLE, WA — Employment in the Seattle market will continue to decline this year, particularly in industrial-using segments, which will result in contracting demand for warehouse and flex properties, according to the Midyear 2009 National Industrial Report by Marcus & Millichap, the nation’s largest real estate investment services firm.
Following are some of the most significant aspects of the Seattle Industrial Research Report:
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For a copy of Marcus & Millichap’s Midyear National Industrial Report and the complete NII rankings, visit http://www.marcusmillichap.com/.
While vacancy will rise metrowide, performance will vary considerably by location.
Also included in the report is the firm’s Midyear National Industrial Index (NII), a snapshot analysis that ranks 28 industrial markets based on a series of forward-looking supply and demand indicators. Seattle remains at No. 3 this year.
“Many investors are remaining on the sidelines in response to softening industrial fundamentals,” says Gregory Wendelken, (middle left photo) regional manager of the firm’s Seattle office.
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· Local employers are expected to cut 37,500 employees in 2009, a 2.2 percent decline. Substantial contraction is forecast in traditional industrial-using sectors, including construction and manufacturing, where losses will total nearly 17,000 positions.
· Construction of new space is projected to fall to 850,000 square feet this year. Deliveries have averaged more than 4 million square feet annually over the past five years.
· Negative net absorption is forecast to exceed 3 million square feet in 2009, resulting in a 150 basis point vacancy rise to 7.9 percent.
· With tenant demand easing this year, asking rents are expected to decline 6.6 percent to $5.66 per square foot; effective rents will drop 7.4 percent to $5.47 per square foot.
Orange County, CA moved up five spots to No.1 in this year’s Midyear NII, driven by a significant decline in new construction.
Orange County, CA moved up five spots to No.1 in this year’s Midyear NII, driven by a significant decline in new construction.
Last year’s leader, Los Angeles, fell to No. 2 on waning imports from Asia. Houston, ranked at No. 4, dropped two spots in the index due to the nation’s largest forecast inventory increase.
Denver rose two positions to No. 5 as expanding alternative energy companies should support fundamentals in the metro, despite the lingering recession.
For a copy of Marcus & Millichap’s Midyear National Industrial Report and the complete NII rankings, visit http://www.marcusmillichap.com/.
Press Contact: Stacey Corso, Communications Department, (925) 953-1716