LOS ANGELES, CA— While employers continue to trim payrolls throughout Los Angeles County, the local office market should outperform most of the country’s major metro areas through the rest of this year and into 2010 due to modest inventory growth, according to a second-quarter Office Research Report by Marcus & Millichap, the nation’s largest real estate investment services firm.
Following are some of the most significant aspects of the Los Angeles County Office Research Report:
· Approximately 1.2 million square feet of office space is expected this year, down from nearly 1.4 million square feet in 2008. Deliveries have averaged 1.1 million square feet annually over the past five years.
· Negative net absorption of 4.2 million square feet is forecast by year end, fueling a 270 basis point vacancy rise to 13.6 percent. Last year, vacancy increased 310 basis points.
Approximately two-thirds of the metro’s 2009 scheduled deliveries have already come online, and the countywide vacancy rate has remained fairly tight.
“Investment activity in the Los Angeles office market has cooled considerably in the past year as buyers and lenders assess the impact of continued economic contraction on future property cash flows,” says Stephen Stein, (top right photo) regional manager of the Los Angeles office of Marcus & Millichap.
Following are some of the most significant aspects of the Los Angeles County Office Research Report:
· Employment losses in Los Angeles County are expected to total 121,000 positions in 2009, a 3 percent decline. Cuts in the metro’s office-using sectors will amount to 41,000 workers, or a decrease of 4.1 percent; in 2008, 46,600 office-using jobs were shed.
· Approximately 1.2 million square feet of office space is expected this year, down from nearly 1.4 million square feet in 2008. Deliveries have averaged 1.1 million square feet annually over the past five years.
· Negative net absorption of 4.2 million square feet is forecast by year end, fueling a 270 basis point vacancy rise to 13.6 percent. Last year, vacancy increased 310 basis points.
· As vacancy continues to creep higher, asking rents are forecast to dip 4.6 percent this year to $32.88 per square foot. Concessions will be used to a greater extent, driving down effective rents 6.6 percent to $27.36 per square foot.
For a copy of the complete Los Angeles County Office Research Report, as well as reports on other markets nationwide, visit our website at http://www.marcusmillichap.com/.
For a copy of the complete Los Angeles County Office Research Report, as well as reports on other markets nationwide, visit our website at http://www.marcusmillichap.com/.
Press Contact: Stacey Corso, Communications Department, (925) 953-1716
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