Wednesday, February 13, 2013

Still Going Strong: Multifamily Sector Continued to Excel in 2012


  
Michael Bull
 ATLANTA, GA (Feb. 13, 2013) – The U.S. apartment segment turned in another strong performance in 2012, and even though overbuilding could become a problem in certain areas, the sector appears set for at least several more years of almost optimal health.

 That was the consensus of a panel of multifamily experts on the most recent episode of the “Commercial Real Estate Show” radio program, hosted by Michael Bull of Bull Realty. Bull and his guests provided an enlightening look at the sector, discussing occupancy rates, rent growth, new construction levels and the effects of low interest rates on investment-sales activity.

Ronald Johnsey
The national apartment occupancy rate improved 60 basis points in 2012 to end the year at 94.3 percent and should finish 2013 just shy of 95 percent, said Ronald Johnsey, president of AxioMetrics, an apartment-research firm. Nationally, effective rents increased by an average of 3.6 percent last year, a slight drop from the 4.2 percent growth of 2011, but still an impressive figure, he added.

 “If you get anything over 3 percent, you’re doing really well,” Johnsey said. The national effective-rent rate should grow by another 3.6 percent in 2013, he predicted.

Norman Radow
2012 also was marked by increasing renter demand for Class-B and class-C apartments as tenants looking to reduce their living expenses began moving out of more upscale properties where rents have skyrocketed in recent years, according to Johnsey.

 As a result of the sector’s recent success, construction of new apartments is beginning to pick up, guests noted. Approximately 85,000 units were delivered in the United States in 2012, a figure that is expected to nearly double to 168,000 units this year, Johnsey said.

 According to Johnsey, almost a third of this year’s new units will be concentrated in six markets: Austin, Texas; Dallas; Houston; New York; Seattle; and Washington D.C. “Those are the markets we really need to look at and worry about oversupply having a big impact on their performance,” he said.

Jerry Wilkinson
Climbing rents and historically cheap financing make this a great time for investors to purchase apartment properties, said Norman Radow, CEO of The RADCO Cos. Locking in a long-term, assumable loan at a low rate also will ensure there is demand for your property down the road when interest rates have increased, he added.

 “You’re almost selling the loan as much as the real estate,” Radow said.

 The single-family housing market has begun to recover, and that will actually benefit the multifamily sector by creating a variety of jobs and thus creating more renters, said Jerry Wikinson, chairman of The Wikinson Cos. and immediate past president of the National Apartment Association. “We view the recovery in housing overall as a good thing,” he said, although he also predicted the recovery to proceed slowly.

Andy Lundsberg
Andy Lundsberg, vice president of Bull Realty’s Apartment Group, said the apartment investment-sales market should remain healthy for a while. “There’s strong demand and a lot of competition [among buyers], which is driving supply [of for-sale properties] down,” he said. “It’s very competitive.”

“If you’re an owner, it’s a great time to sell,” Lundsberg added. “If you’re a buyer, take advantage of those low interest rates and buy now.”

The entire episode on the U.S. multifamily market is available for download at www.CREshow.com.

 The next “Commercial Real Estate Show” will be available Feb. 14 and will examine tax strategies for commercial real estate investors.

Contact:

Stephen Ursery
The Wilbert Group
Office: (404) 965-5026
Cell: (404) 405-2354

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