Monday, July 29, 2013

Rebuilding the Retail Sector Brick by Brick



  
ATLANTA (July 29, 2013) – When it comes to regaining its health, the retail sector may have lagged behind its commercial real estate cousins. But that is changing. In fact, with just less than $10 billion of retail property investment sales in the first quarter of 2013, it would appear the sector is well on its way to recovery.    

Michael Bull
That was the consensus of a panel of experts on the most recent episode of the “Commercial Real Estate Show” radio program, hosted by Michael Bull of Bull Realty.

Home improvement stores, auto retailers and fast-casual restaurants are paving the way for retail’s recovery.

“One example is that a couple of weeks ago Noodles & Company went public, and they had some of the best returns from their public offering of any company that went public in the last 12 years,” said John Neville, partner at Arnall Golden Gregory. “That’s a great snapshot of the market’s demand for that type of fast-casual restaurant.”

Jonathan L. Neville
One of the strongest parts of retail’s recovery has been in the investment sales arena. In fact, Dan Fasulo, managing director at Real Capital Analytics, said sales of strip centers are up 30 percent on a year-over-year basis.

 “A couple of years ago, it was the institutional quality strip centers that were changing hands and seeing the value increases,” he added. “Now the market is starting to spread out to all [retail] properties.”

PricewaterhouseCooper’s (PwC) first-quarter survey indicated that retail cap rates, on a national basis, are hovering between 6 percent and 7 percent, said Mitch Roschelle, a partner at the firm and the leader of its U.S. Real Estate Advisory Practice.

Dan Fasulo
Regional malls have the lowest cap rates at around 6.5 percent, and strip centers have the highest at around 6.95 percent, while power centers fall somewhere in the middle. Looking ahead, the panel expects cap rates to continue to compress.

Distressed assets may still be desirable in some sectors, but troubled retail properties have mostly been resolved through a sale to a third party or a recapitalization. “Anyone that’s still waiting for this wave [of distressed properties] to come is going to be waiting an awfully long time,” said Fasulo.

Mitch Roschelle
Foreign investors have exhibited a hearty appetite forretail properties in a variety of markets throughout the United States, guests added. “[Foreign investors] are very interested in retail because historically retail has been a fairly elastic way to invest in real estate and enjoy economic growth at the same time,” Roschelle said.

Secondary markets - including Atlanta, Phoenix, Minneapolis and Denver, as well as parts of Florida and Texas – are experiencing big increases in retail investment sales, Fasulo noted. Dallas has been one of the big standout markets, said Roschelle.


  For a complete copy of the company’s news release, please contact:

Stephen Ursery
The Wilbert Group
404.405.2354


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