Friday, July 2, 2021

Federal Reserve Still Battling toTame Inflation

 

John Oharenko

Chicago, IL - The Real Estate Capital Institute® notes the continued labor and materials shortages threaten the Fed's ability to tame inflation. 

 The Fed's target of two percent annual growth now exceeds three percent.  However, the Fed states that inflation pressures rank as a temporary concern. 

"Generally speaking, inflationary fears traditionally move more capital into hard assets, with real properties emerging as one of the top categories," states John Oharenko, Director of The Real Estate Capital Institute's®.


Mortgage rates barely changed.  Since late May, overall benchmark rates fluctuated about twenty basis points and dropping about fifteen basis points by the end of the month.  The five and ten-year treasuries steadily maintain a sixty-basis-point spread.

Even as rates stay consistent, demand continues unabated for realty assets.  The realty capital markets gain from inflation fears as the property investment sector is seen as one of the best inflation hedges.  


Pricing remains exceptionally tight, fueled by solid demand, a limited supply, and low mortgage rates. 

 Nearly all asset categories with reliable cash flows enjoy favorable pricing, especially as the pandemic recovery brings more need for goods and services (travel-oriented projects.)

Many examples reflect rising values during the past years. Home prices nationally increased about twenty percent over the past year.  


Multifamily and industrial assets rose at about half 
this rate – impressive by any current investment standards.  

The lodging sector also shares pricing appreciation, although the growth rates are erratic, depending upon tourism vs. business travel.  

The laggards, offices, and overbuilt retail properties, reflect unpredictable volatility.  Yet, many see these sectors as selective opportunity plays, driven by specific circumstances.


 The Real Estate Capital Institute® is a volunteer-based research organization that tracks realty rates data for debt and equity yields.  The Institute posts daily and historical benchmark rates, including treasuries, bank prime, and LIBOR.  

 

CONTACT:

 The   Real Estate Capital Institute®

John Oharenko 

Executive Director

director@reci.com / www.reci.com

john.oharenko@reci.com

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