Tuesday, October 12, 2021

CBRE Updates U.S. Lodging Forecast to Further Account for Delta Variant’s Impacts

 

Rachael Rothman

Dallas, TX – The COVID-19 Delta variant’s emergence and spread has hampered plans for group and business travel this fall and winter, spurring CBRE Hotels Research to temper its expectations in September 2021 for Q4 2021 U.S. lodging performance on a national basis.

 CBRE’s tempered outlook extends into 2022, given the likelihood that corporate travel budgets will remain constrained next year.

 Earlier this year, the lodging outlook had been brighter due to strong leisure demand boosting summer occupancy levels beyond expectations at U.S. hotels.

But the emergence of the Delta variant sapped momentum from more lucrative business travel, giving rise to a concerning “second-derivative” market condition in which the recovery continues but at a slowing pace.

Bram Gallagher 

“The Delta variant and increasing number of COVID infections led to delays in ‘return to office’ plans at many firms and coincided with the start of the 2022 travel-budgeting season,” said Rachael Rothman, CBRE’s Head of Hotel Research & Data Analytics.

“Unfortunately, for business centric hotels, the rebound in business travel expected in September of 2021 is now delayed and will likely have a ripple effect into 2022’s corporate travel budgets.”

                    Orlando International Airport
 

CBRE forecasts that U.S. hotels will achieve a 2021 annual occupancy level of 54.0%, along with an average daily rate (ADR) of $112.85.

“In general, Sunbelt cities and drive-to leisure destinations are expected to perform the best, while group-oriented hotels, northern markets, and global gateway cities reliant on inbound international travel are projected to lag in performance,” said Bram Gallagher Ph.D., Senior Hotel Economist with CBRE Hotels Research.

“The pace of recovery for business and group demand is top of mind for most hoteliers.”

 CBRE is forecasting an occupancy gain of 8.0% in 2022, plus a 7.1% boost to ADR. The net result is a 15.6% forecast increase in RevPAR for the year.

 The September 2021 editions of Hotel Horizons® for the U.S. lodging industry and 65 major markets may  be purchased by visiting: https://pip.cbrehotels.com.

  Contact:

Chris Daly

President

DG Public Relations

(703) 864-5553

chris@dalygray.com

www.dalygray.com

www.cbre.com.

 

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